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000
ABNT20 KNHC 251603
TWOAT

Special Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1205 PM EDT Fri May 25 2018

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on newly formed
Subtropical Storm Alberto, located over the northwestern Caribbean
Sea just east of the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

Routine issuance of the Tropical Weather Outlook will resume on 1
June.

&&

Public Advisories on Alberto are issued under WMO header WTNT31 KNHC
and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT1.
Forecast/Advisories on Alberto are issued under WMO header WTNT21
KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT1.

$$
Forecaster Stewart

Summary for Subtropical Storm Alberto (AT1/AL012018)

...HEAVY RAINFALL EXPECTED TO AFFECT THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...WESTERN CUBA...FLORIDA...AND THE NORTHEASTERN GULF COAST THROUGH THE WEEKEND...
 As of 7:00 PM CDT Fri May 25
 the center of Alberto was located near 19.2, -86.0
 with movement E at 2 mph.
 The minimum central pressure was 1006 mb
 with maximum sustained winds of about 40 mph.

Subtropical Storm Alberto Public Advisory Number 2A

Issued at 700 PM CDT Fri May 25 2018  

000
WTNT31 KNHC 252350
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
Subtropical Storm Alberto Intermediate Advisory Number 2A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL012018
700 PM CDT Fri May 25 2018

...ALBERTO MOVING SLOWLY AND ERRATICALLY OVER THE NORTHWESTERN
CARIBBEAN SEA...
...HEAVY RAINFALL EXPECTED TO AFFECT THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...WESTERN
CUBA...FLORIDA...AND THE NORTHEASTERN GULF COAST THROUGH THE
WEEKEND...


SUMMARY OF 700 PM CDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.2N 86.0W
ABOUT 100 MI...160 KM SSE OF COZUMEL MEXICO
ABOUT 195 MI...315 KM SSW OF THE WESTERN TIP OF CUBA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...E OR 90 DEGREES AT 2 MPH...4 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for...
* Horseshoe Beach to the Mouth of the Mississippi River

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Tulum to Cabo Catoche Mexico
* Cuban province of Pinar del Rio
* Indian Pass to Grand Isle
* Lake Pontchartrain and Lake Maurepas

A Storm Surge Watch means there is a possibility of life-
threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the
coastline, in the indicated locations during the next 48 hours.
For a depiction of areas at risk, please see the National Weather
Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic, available at
hurricanes.gov.

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible in the Yucatan and Cuba portions of the watch area, in
this case within the next 24 hours.

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible in the United States portion of that watch area within
48 hours.

For storm information specific to your area in the United States,
including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor
products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast
office. For storm information specific to your area outside the
United States, please monitor products issued by your national
meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 700 PM CDT (0000 UTC), the center of Subtropical Storm Alberto
was located near latitude 19.2 North, longitude 86.0 West. The storm
is moving erratically toward the east near 2 mph (4 km/h).  A slow
and erratic motion toward the north is expected tonight.  From
Saturday afternoon into Sunday, a general northward motion at a
faster forward speed is expected, followed by a turn toward the
northwest on Monday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher
gusts. Gradual strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours,
with little change in strength forecast on Monday.

Winds of 40 mph extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km) from the
center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches)
based on recent data from an Air Force Reserve reconnaissance
aircraft and surface observations.

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL:  Alberto is expected to produce total rain accumulations
of 10 to 15 inches with isolated totals of 25 inches across the
northeastern portions of the Yucatan Peninsula and western Cuba.
These rains could produce life-threatening flash floods and
mudslides. Rainfall accmumulations of 4 to 8 inches with maximum
amounts of 12 inches are possible across the Florida Keys and
southern and southwestern Florida.  Heavy rain will likely begin
to affect the central Gulf Coast region and the southeastern United
States later this weekend and continue into early next week.
Flooding potential will increase across this region early next
week as Alberto is forecast to slow down after it moves inland.

WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch
area in Cuba and the Yucatan Peninsula through Saturday. Tropical
storm conditions are possible within the United States watch
area beginning on Sunday.

STORM SURGE:  The combination of storm surge and the tide will cause
normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters
moving inland from the shoreline.  The water could reach the
following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated
areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide...

Horseshoe Beach to the Mouth of the Mississippi River...2 to 4 ft

The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast. Surge-
related flooding depends on the relative timing of the surge
and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over short distances.  For
information specific to your area, please see products issued by
your local National Weather Service forecast office.

SURF:  Swells generated by Alberto are affecting portions of
the coast of eastern Yucatan Peninsula and western Cuba.  These
swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current
conditions.  Hazardous surf conditions are likely to develop along
much of the central and eastern U.S. Gulf Coast this weekend. For
more information, consult products from your local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1000 PM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Beven


Subtropical Storm Alberto Forecast Advisory Number 2

Issued at 2100 UTC FRI MAY 25 2018  

000
WTNT21 KNHC 252047
TCMAT1

SUBTROPICAL STORM ALBERTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL012018
2100 UTC FRI MAY 25 2018

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

A STORM SURGE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN
GULF COAST OF THE UNITED STATES FROM HORSESHOE BEACH FLORIDA
WESTWARD TO THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN
GULF COAST OF THE UNITED STATES FROM INDIAN PASS FLORIDA WESTWARD TO
GRAND ISLE LOUISIANA...INCLUDING LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN...LAKE
MAUREPAS...AND METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* HORSESHOE BEACH TO THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* TULUM TO CABO CATOCHE MEXICO
* CUBAN PROVINCE OF PINAR DEL RIO
* INDIAN PASS TO GRAND ISLE
* LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND LAKE MAUREPAS

A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LIFE-
THREATENING INUNDATION FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE
COASTLINE IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC AVAILABLE AT
HURRICANES.GOV.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE IN THE YUCATAN AND CUBA PORTIONS OF THE WATCH AREA IN
THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE IN THE UNITED STATES PORTION OF THAT WATCH AREA WITHIN
48 HOURS.

SUBTROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.4N  86.3W AT 25/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR  90 DEGREES AT   2 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......120NE 100SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.4N  86.3W AT 25/2100Z
AT 25/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.4N  86.4W

FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 20.7N  86.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...120NE 100SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 22.5N  85.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 100SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 24.8N  85.6W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 26.8N  86.2W...TROPICAL STORM
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...130NE 120SE   0SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 29.0N  87.8W...TROPICAL STORM
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE   0SW  40NW.
34 KT...130NE 120SE   0SW  80NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 29/1800Z 31.7N  88.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 30/1800Z 35.2N  87.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.4N  86.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART



Subtropical Storm Alberto Forecast Discussion Number 2

Issued at 400 PM CDT Fri May 25 2018  

000
WTNT41 KNHC 252058
TCDAT1

Subtropical Storm Alberto Discussion Number   2
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL012018
400 PM CDT Fri May 25 2018

The inner-core low-level wind field of Alberto has changed little
since the previous advisory based on recent data from an Air Force
Reserve reconnaissance aircraft, along with land and ship
observations. However, the convective structure of the cyclone has
degraded over the past several hours due a pronounced intrusion of
dry mid-/upper-level air and the cloud pattern continues to exhibit
the structure of a subtropical cyclone. The lowest pressure measured
thus far by the aircraft has been 1006 mb. The initial position is a
little north of the recon position of a pronounced swirl due to the
broad overall nature of the low-level circulation.

The initial motion estimate is 090/02 kt, but this is considered to
be a short-term motion. A gradual turn toward the north should begin
later tonight due to a strong ridge located to the east across the
Greater Antilles. A steadier northward motion is forecast to occur
by Saturday evening and continue into Sunday as a sharp
mid/upper-level trough digging southward into the central Gulf of
Mexico combines with southerly flow around the western portion of a
large subtropical ridge to produce deep-layer southerly flow across
Alberto. By 48 hours and continuing through 72 hours, the developing
mid/upper-level low over the central Gulf should cause the cyclone
to turn northwestward and accelerate until it nears the Gulf Coast
by Monday night. After that, steering currents are forecast to
collapse as a broad weakness develops in the subtropical ridge axis
located along the Gulf coast. Slow but steady recurvature into the
westerlies across the Deep South is expected to begin by 96-120 h.
The new NHC forecast track is similar to the previous advisory,
and closely follows the consensus models TVCN and HCCA, and the
Florida State Superensemble (FSSE) model.

The broad nature of the inner-core wind field, along with strong
westerly wind shear in excess of 20 kt is forecast to continue for
the next 24 hours. The latest model runs actually decrease the shear
sooner than previously forecast, but the ragged nature of the wind
field should prevent any significant intensification until after 48
hours. As a result, only slow but steady strengthening is expected
for the next 3 days, and Alberto could peak around 60 kt around 60
hours when the storm will be in a low wind shear regime and
over SSTs greater than 28 deg C. However, proximity to dry mid-
level air around landfall could hinder any additional strengthening,
and the NHC intensity forecast remains similar to the previous
advisory, closely following a blend of the HCCA and ICON consensus
models and the FSSE model.

The new NHC forecast necessitates the issuance of tropical storm
and storm surge watches for portions of the U.S. Gulf Coast at
this time. Note that if the intensity forecast increases with later
advisories, a hurricane watch could be needed for a portion of the
Gulf Coast.

KEY MESSAGES:

1. Regardless of its exact track and intensity, Alberto is expected
to produce heavy rainfall and flash flooding over the northeaster
Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico, western Cuba, southern Florida and the
Florida Keys. Rainfall and flooding potential will increase across
the central U.S. Gulf Coast region and the southeastern United
States later this weekend and early next week when Alberto is
expected to slow down after it moves inland.

2. Tropical-storm-force winds and hazardous storm surge are
possible along portions of the central and eastern U.S. Gulf Coast
beginning on Sunday, including areas well east of the track of
Alberto's center, and tropical storm and storm surge watches have
been issued for portions of these areas. Residents in the watch
areas are encouraged not to focus on the details of the forecast
track of Alberto and should follow any guidance given by their local
government officials.

3. Dangerous surf and rip current conditions are affecting portions
of the Yucatan Peninsula and western Cuba and will likely spread
along the eastern and central U.S. Gulf Coast later this weekend.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  25/2100Z 19.4N  86.3W   35 KT  40 MPH
 12H  26/0600Z 20.7N  86.0W   40 KT  45 MPH
 24H  26/1800Z 22.5N  85.7W   45 KT  50 MPH
 36H  27/0600Z 24.8N  85.6W   50 KT  60 MPH
 48H  27/1800Z 26.8N  86.2W   55 KT  65 MPH...TROPICAL STORM
 72H  28/1800Z 29.0N  87.8W   55 KT  65 MPH...TROPICAL STORM
 96H  29/1800Z 31.7N  88.6W   30 KT  35 MPH...INLAND
120H  30/1800Z 35.2N  87.6W   20 KT  25 MPH...INLAND

$$
Forecaster Stewart


Subtropical Storm Alberto Wind Speed Probabilities Number 2

Issued at 2100 UTC FRI MAY 25 2018


000
FONT11 KNHC 252048
PWSAT1
                                                                    
SUBTROPICAL STORM ALBERTO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   2       
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL012018               
2100 UTC FRI MAY 25 2018                                            
                                                                    
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF SUBTROPICAL STORM ALBERTO WAS LOCATED NEAR   
LATITUDE 19.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H.                               
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        18Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
ATLANTA GA     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)
 
KINGS BAY GA   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)
 
WAYCROSS GA    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)
 
MAYPORT NS FL  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)
 
JACKSONVILLE   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)
 
GAINESVILLE FL 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   6(12)   1(13)   X(13)
 
DAYTONA BEACH  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
THE VILLAGES   34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)   4(11)   1(12)   X(12)
 
ORLANDO FL     34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   3( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
COCOA BEACH FL 34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
PATRICK AFB    34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
FT PIERCE FL   34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
W PALM BEACH   34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
FT LAUDERDALE  34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
MIAMI FL       34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
HOMESTEAD ARB  34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
MARATHON FL    34  X   1( 1)   4( 5)   2( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
KEY WEST FL    34  X   3( 3)   6( 9)   3(12)   1(13)   X(13)   X(13)
 
NAPLES FL      34  X   X( X)   7( 7)   4(11)   2(13)   X(13)   X(13)
 
FT MYERS FL    34  X   X( X)   6( 6)   6(12)   2(14)   X(14)   X(14)
 
VENICE FL      34  X   X( X)   7( 7)   9(16)   3(19)   X(19)   X(19)
 
TAMPA FL       34  X   X( X)   4( 4)   9(13)   4(17)   1(18)   X(18)
 
CEDAR KEY FL   34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   9(11)   6(17)   1(18)   X(18)
 
TALLAHASSEE FL 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)  11(19)   3(22)   X(22)
 
ST MARKS FL    34  X   X( X)   X( X)  10(10)  11(21)   2(23)   X(23)
 
APALACHICOLA   34  X   X( X)   1( 1)  14(15)  19(34)   3(37)   X(37)
APALACHICOLA   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   2( 7)   X( 7)
 
GFMX 290N 850W 34  X   X( X)   3( 3)  23(26)  18(44)   2(46)   X(46)
GFMX 290N 850W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   6( 9)   1(10)   X(10)
GFMX 290N 850W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
PANAMA CITY FL 34  X   X( X)   X( X)  13(13)  23(36)   4(40)   X(40)
PANAMA CITY FL 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)   2( 9)   X( 9)
PANAMA CITY FL 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
DESTIN EXEC AP 34  X   X( X)   X( X)  10(10)  26(36)   6(42)   1(43)
DESTIN EXEC AP 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)   2( 9)   1(10)
DESTIN EXEC AP 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)
 
COLUMBUS GA    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)   3(10)   1(11)
 
BIRMINGHAM AL  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   4( 8)   2(10)
 
MONTGOMERY AL  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  10(11)   4(15)   1(16)
 
WHITING FLD FL 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)  26(32)   9(41)   2(43)
WHITING FLD FL 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   3( 9)   1(10)
WHITING FLD FL 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)
 
PENSACOLA FL   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)  29(36)  10(46)   2(48)
PENSACOLA FL   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   9( 9)   2(11)   1(12)
PENSACOLA FL   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)
 
GFMX 290N 870W 34  X   X( X)   2( 2)  21(23)  31(54)   6(60)   1(61)
GFMX 290N 870W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  17(20)   2(22)   1(23)
GFMX 290N 870W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)
 
MOBILE AL      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)  24(28)  12(40)   2(42)
MOBILE AL      50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   4(11)   1(12)
MOBILE AL      64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)
 
GULFPORT MS    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  24(27)  13(40)   1(41)
GULFPORT MS    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   5(10)   X(10)
GULFPORT MS    64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)
 
STENNIS MS     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  20(22)  13(35)   2(37)
STENNIS MS     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   3( 7)   1( 8)
STENNIS MS     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)
 
BURAS LA       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  24(27)  11(38)   1(39)
BURAS LA       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   4(11)   X(11)
BURAS LA       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)
 
GFMX 280N 890W 34  X   X( X)   1( 1)  11(12)  22(34)   7(41)   X(41)
GFMX 280N 890W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   8( 9)   3(12)   1(13)
GFMX 280N 890W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)
 
JACKSON MS     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   6(13)   2(15)
 
NEW ORLEANS LA 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  15(17)  10(27)   1(28)
NEW ORLEANS LA 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   4( 6)   X( 6)
NEW ORLEANS LA 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)
 
GFMX 280N 910W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  11(13)   5(18)   1(19)
GFMX 280N 910W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)
 
BATON ROUGE LA 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)   8(16)   1(17)
 
MORGAN CITY LA 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  10(11)   7(18)   2(20)
MORGAN CITY LA 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   X( 4)
 
ALEXANDRIA LA  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   4( 7)   1( 8)
 
LAFAYETTE LA   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   5(11)   1(12)
 
NEW IBERIA LA  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   6(13)   1(14)
 
GFMX 280N 930W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)   1( 6)
 
FORT POLK LA   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)   1( 6)
 
LAKE CHARLES   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   3( 6)   1( 7)
 
CAMERON LA     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   3( 6)   1( 7)
 
JASPER TX      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)
 
KOUNTZE TX     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)
 
PORT ARTHUR TX 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)
 
HIGH ISLAND TX 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)
 
COZUMEL MX     34 18   2(20)   1(21)   X(21)   X(21)   X(21)   X(21)
 
CP SAN ANTONIO 34 34  47(81)   X(81)   X(81)   1(82)   X(82)   X(82)
CP SAN ANTONIO 50  X   9( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
HAVANA         34  1   5( 6)   7(13)   1(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)
 
ISLE OF PINES  34  2   5( 7)   2( 9)   1(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER STEWART                                                  


Subtropical Storm Alberto Graphics


Subtropical Storm Alberto 5-Day Uncertainty Track Image
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Fri, 25 May 2018 23:51:56 GMT

Subtropical Storm Alberto 34-Knot Wind Speed Probabilities
Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Fri, 25 May 2018 20:52:34 GMT

Subtropical Storm Alberto Potential Storm Surge Flooding Map


Subtropical Storm Alberto Link to Potential Storm Surge Flooding Map
Potential Storm Surge Flooding Map last updated Fri, 25 May 2018 22:06:48 GMT

Subtropical Storm Alberto Storm Surge Watch/Warning Map


Subtropical Storm Alberto Link to Storm Surge Watch/Warning Map
Storm Surge Watch/Warning Map last updated Fri, 25 May 2018 20:49:40 GMT

Local Statement for Mobile, AL / Pensacola, FL

Issued at 445 PM CDT Fri May 25 2018



Local Statement for Tallahassee, FL

Issued at 546 PM EDT Fri May 25 2018 /446 PM CDT Fri May 25 2018/



Local Statement for New Orleans / Baton Rouge, LA

Issued at 701 PM CDT Fri May 25 2018